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I have a story running Sunday about the seven factors I expect to influence the election. (Update: Click here to read the story.) It’ll be worth checking out the newspaper page, by the way, if only for Tim Rickard’s cartoons, which aren't showing in the online version.

There’s no huge insight or revelation, no secret decoder algorithm to tell you how the election will turn out. Basically, it’s my attempt to sum up the political environment based on what I’ve been hearing from people in the street on up to national pollsters.

Now it’s your turn to sound off. What did I get wrong? What do you see driving Tuesday’s election? When the smoke clears, what are we going to slap our foreheads and say “gosh, how did we miss that?” Click the comment link and have your say.

Comments (1)

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Joe Guarino said:

Mark, it was a good piece, and I think you got it right. I want to commend you on your election coverage over the last couple of months, which has been comprehensive and helpful.

I have some vague discomfort that any aggregate feelings the populace may have about the war in Iraq, as expressed at the polls, will not necessarily be reflective of a single thought pattern-- but rather, several-- ranging from those who opposed the war in the first place, to opposition based on perceptions of Saddam's non-possession of WMD's, to opposition based on the manner in which the war has been conducted. There are at least a few different strains of thought.

They may be coalescing to militate against Republicans, but it does not in any way reflect a national will or unity of purpose.

The question is-- where do we go from here, as a nation that must proceed in a united fashion against state sponsors of terrorism? I doubt the election will clarify the answer to that question, because we are unfortunately divided.

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