US Senate Race Polls
A Survey USA Poll once again puts State Sen. Kay Hagan of Greensboro and Chapel Hill investment advisor Jim Neal in a dead heat.
And once again, that disagrees with the latest polling from PPP, which puts Hagan pretty far ahead.
I'm going to be watching a couple things in the polls going forward. First: are Hagan's ads making a bit of difference. I watch a lot of TV that polls like to advertise on (cheap cable time with wonky shows) and haven't seen one yet. One would expect that if her ads are making a dent, she should be able to break the tie Survey USA is finding.
And I want to see if Neal can widen his lead in the PPP poll over the other three male candidates in the race. He has kind of a problem on election day in that Hagan is the only female name on the ballot. So 1) her name is more district and easier to remember for folks who know "Oh, I like that lady in the race," and 2) she'll pick up people who vote for the woman in any race where they don't know anything else about the candidates. (Yes, that happens.) So Neal has a couple of structural things he needs to over come.
At this point, I'm not sure either poll can tell us very much. Both have large numbers of undecideds and there are tons of new voters registering.
