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Decision 2008

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A senate flip-flop

From today's print edition of Inside Scoop:

John Davis has been breaking down state legislative races for NC FREE, a nonprofit that ranks politicians based on how “business-friendly” they are, for more than 20 years. And for most of that time, his message for Republicans in the N.C. Senate race has been gloomy.

Until this year, he said.

“Something very unique is going on this year with the passion of the American public in terms of wanting to make changes,” Davis said. “If an incumbent gives voters a reason to vote them out, the voters are going to jump all over that.”

Democrats have a 31-19 advantage in the Senate. For Republicans to take control, they would need to win seven seats held by Democrats.

Davis identifies eight seats he says could be vulnerable because of changing demographics or missteps by the incumbent. The closest one to Guilford County is in District 24, based in Alamance County, where first-term Democrat Tony Foriest faces Republican Rick Gunn. A Republican had held the seat for the decade before Foriest won in 2006.

Sen. Phil Berger, a Rockingham County Republican and his party’s leader in the Senate, said the eight races Davis has identified are ones where the party sees opportunity as well.

“We’ve been saying all along that the Democrats will be playing defense this time,” Berger said.

Berger’s opposite number on the Democratic side, Fayetteville Sen. Tony Rand, derides Davis’ analysis.

“You mean the analysis by the long arm of the Republican Party? He has no basis for any of that,” Rand said. “John’s simply wrong.”

By the way, in Guilford County, Davis rates the seat held by U.S. Senate candidate Kay Hagan as one Democrats are likely to keep. There, former City Council member Don Vaughan, a Democrat, is running against Republican Joe Wilson.

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Comments (1)

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Eli Jones said:

If the Republicans are voted out of office or not into office, there will not be a balance of power in our government anymore. Without a Republican president to veto Obama's MARXIST WEALTH REDISTRIBUTION SCHEMES, the Democrats will shove their CHANGE right down our already over taxed throats. If you believe that the rich can fund Obama's massive MARXIST WEALTH REDISTRIBUTION SCHEMES inside the US and world wide. Obama is currently sponsoring US Senate Bill S2433 with your hard earned money going to the corrupt United Nations, specifically to "The UN Global Poverty Act". Your money will then be REDISTRIBUTED to third world dictators. This is documented and can be verified. Google, "Obama's S2433" and read how Obama plans to REDISTRIBUTE your money to the world. No one has ever fixed our economy by taxing us to death and then REDISTRIBUTING our money to someone else and Comrade Obama will be no exception to the rule.

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