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Hagan's fundraising and the Obama factor

Last summer, Kay Hagan told me she'd need to raise $100,000 a week for more than a year to run a viable campaign against Elizabeth Dole.

She exceeded that rate during the second quarter, although an earlier report showed she'd lagged far behind that pace prior to the second quarter.

I wonder if she'll be able to pick it up considering the intensive fundraising effort in North Carolina by the Barack Obama organization. I'm on the Obama email list, and I get an appeal for a donation just about every day. (Note to candidates: I don't give.) With Obama's decision to reject public financing, he's in high gear to rake in big, big money -- potentially at the expense of fellow Democrats.

However, he may more than make up for it if he pulls a huge turnout of Democratic voters to the polls in November, as he did in the May primary.

Those who vote for Obama are almost sure to vote for Hagan, too.

Because of the Obama factor, she might not be able to raise as much money as she thought she'd need.

And she might not need as much as she thought to give Dole a very close race.

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