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If Hillary had packed it in, bonds would've been doomed

An expanded version of this week's column.

County bond proponents should thank Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama for a happy ending on primary night.

In an outcome that shocked just about everybody, four of five bond issues passed on May 6, despite bad pre-election vibes and an even worse economy.

So, say what you will about Hillary’s quest for an unreachable goal. For the school bonds in Guilford County, it was manna from Heaven.

Had the Democrats’ fierce race for the White House not lasted until now, you almost certainly could have kissed nearly every one of those bonds goodbye.

Voters said yes to a total of $651 million in bonds to pay for school construction repairs and upgrades; a new campus and new classrooms at GTCC; a new Eastern Guilford High School; and a new Guilford County jail.

Even during a bad economy, voters saw a need to invest in education. More significantly, the huge turnout, including a wave of new, younger voters, made a difference.

Despite the expected surge in voters, absolutely no one predicted the bonds would do this well.

And anyone who tells you otherwise isn’t telling you the truth.

Other lessons from May 6:

Anti-bond effort fizzled: Even an 11th-hour news conference by three black school board members who opposed the school bonds made no appreciable dent in the bonds’ success.

Precinct-by-precinct results showed especially strong support for the school bonds in largely African American communities, nearly 58 percent in school board member Deena Hayes’ district. Most predominantly black precincts favored the bonds, some decisively.

Which is to say that voters deserve credit for thinking for themselves and realizing how monumentally ill-considered this ploy was.

One of those board members, Walter Childs, said the news conference was more symbolism than anything else. “I did not oppose the bonds for the bonds’ sake,” he said Thursday. “I was trying to make a statement on what the real focus is: children.”

Childs said the schools have not adequately addressed the needs of poor and inner-city students. When asked if, in that case, he’d voted for the school bonds, Childs said, “I voted for the bonds. Yes.”

School board Vice Chairman Amos Quick would not go that far, but he’d clearly, and justifiably, had second thoughts.

“I was wrong,” he said Thursday. “And I’ve never been happier to be wrong in my life.”

Hear her roar: Female voters in particular were the bonds’ unsung heroes, and made their presence known elsewhere on the ballot, says Bill Burckley, a campaign strategist who worked for the school bond effort. Among the groups the school bonds campaign targeted in its mailings were women ages 34 to 59, Burckley said.

“Women have a tendency of not wanting to say no,” he said.

When warned that his remarks might be construed as, um, politically incorrect, Burckley added, “It’s just a fact of life. That’s just the way it is"

Burckley also cited women’s voting power in the at-large school board race, in which Sandra Alexander led the field, and in Laura Wiley’s razor-thin victory over George Ragsdale in the state House District 61 race, which she won by only 260 votes.

“Ragsdale should have won that one hands-down,” said Burckley, who worked for the Ragsdale campaign.

Simkins PAC losing luster? The George Simkins Memorial PAC didn’t hold much sway with black voters either on the bonds. Despite its endorsement only of the bonds to rebuild Eastern Guilford High School, black voters said otherwise at the polls. Also counter to the PAC’s recommendations, black voters supported the GTCC and jail bonds.

Two factors may have contributed here: a generational gap in which some younger voters may have no idea what the PAC is and what it does; and substantial numbers of voters who simply disagreed with the PAC.

Burckley says it’s more of the former than the latter: “They (young voters) don’t know who they are,” said Burckley, who has done work for the PAC in the past. “They’ve got some work to do.”

Parking the parks: The parks and recreation bonds failed because they should have. Every project in that package would have been a nice amenity. And every one of them can wait, too. Some people argue that more parks would help address the county’s obesity problem. With all due sensitivity to that issue, anyone who want to walk or exercise in Guilford County has plenty of convenient options already.

He'll be back: County Commissioner Bruce Davis may have lost solidly to incumbent Katie Dorsett in the race for her District 28 state Senate seat, but he says he's undeterred. Davis cited last week as his toughest obstacle the Simkins PAC's endorsement of Dorsett. He, in fact, said he was "running against the PAC." Davis also dismissed any notion that he was running merely to establish his name for state office. "I was in it to win it," he said. He said he fully expects to run again.

Friends don’t let friends who run for office blog: Among those who finished in the rear of the pack for an at-large school board seat was blogger Erik Huey, whose campaign tactics included an online forum with voters. Huey, who received an endorsement from the Rhino Times, placed dead last. "That’s why I tell my candidates not to blog," Burckley said. But this was not a referendum on the wisdom of blogging. It probably exposed Huey's inability to connect to voters beyond the Internet. While the blogosphere still reaches a relatively small audience, its influence is growing. It ought to be a tool used in addition to face-to-face campaigning, not instead of it. As for the power of a Rhino endorsement, Huey and the other Rhino choice, Alan Hawkes, both finished at the bottom of the at-large race.

T-A-X spells T-R-O-U-B-L-E: Although few of us like to say yes to taxes, the proposed quarter-cent sales tax increase was actually a good thing. It would have spread the tax burden, which now draws primarily from property taxes. For instance, people who visit the county, or who work here, but live somewhere else, would have contributed to those extra tax revenues.

The increase could have generated nearly $16 million for the county budget. But voters likely saw the word “tax” on the ballot and reacted instinctively. As counterintuitive as it might seem, this tax increase would have been a relatively painless option — a penny for every $4 spent — and would not have applied to food and medicine purchases. It also likely would have eased the size of expected property tax increases.

Joseph M. Bryan Foundation President Jim Melvin, a proponent of the sales tax increase, said he and others likely concentrated so much on pushing the school bonds that they neglected the sales tax. “Obviously, we did an extremely poor job of explaining the sales tax,” Melvin said.

So, in the end, it had no champion, and no chance.


Comments (8)

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tonymo [TypeKey Profile Page] said:

Yeah the school bonds were a great thing. They can still continue to waste hundreds of millions of our dollars without any accountability as they have for the past 30 years.

Incompetent school board members can continue to under insure schools so that in case of a disaster we'll coninue to pick up the tab for their incompetence.

We can continue to have the most top heavy system employing one administrator for every 1244 students. In the system statewide there is one pulic school employee for every 8 students. Do you still wonder why no matter hos much we spend there is no improvement in actually education kids? The government school system is nothing more than a jobs program run by a self-serving corrupt teachers union, whose primary goal is lining their own pockets. If not, wouldn't you think that there would be continuing improvement in results, rather than the opposite that we are seeing?

Finally, if the one quarter cent tax increase was a good idea, wouldn't a two cent increase have been 8 times better!

Thoughts for your penny said:

I wonder what Walter and Amos would have said if the school bonds hadn't passed.

One has to admire Deena for not backpedaling, whether one agrees with her or not.

Allen Johnson said:

I suspect Quick and Childs regret agreeing with Hayes on this in the first place.
In fact, I'm not sure they ever did.
They have just said no ... from the start.
Quick added that even his mother wondered what he was thinking in opposing the school bonds.
For her part, Hayes has her principles, but she can be reckless and naive in how she chooses to act on them.
Fortunately, the vast majority of voters, black and white, thought otherwise.

Thoughts for your penny said:

I agree, Allen

just saying said:

I agree that interest in the Obama-Clinton race was indirectly responsible for all of the bonds passing. The primary attracted large groups of 1. Democrats, who typically are supportive of government spending; and 2. Casual voters who came to vote for either Clinton or Obama, but who didn't really know the local issues.

In the case of the second group, it's easy to see why they voted for the bonds. On the surface, who wouldn't "Vote Yes for Kids"?

It's only when you dig deeper that you understand the problems with these bonds. First, they are going to bring about a huge property tax increase. Many voters genuinely don't understand that these bonds have to be paid off by you and me.

Second, in the case of the school bonds, the Guilford County School Board has an abysmal track record in recent years of school construction. Giving this group a $457 million check is an invitation for additional waste, mismanagement and political gamesmanship. And as long as the school board isn't held accountable by the voters, this nonsense will continue.

just saying said:

And Thoughts for Your Penny is right - like her or not, at least Deena Hayes has the courage to stand behind her convictions. I rarely agree with her (she was right about the bonds, but for totally the wrong reasons), but I do admire her ability to stand on principle.

Unfortunately, few of her colleagues on the school board share that same courage.

Dan [TypeKey Profile Page] said:

Notice how the sales tax increase didn't pass. It seems some voters do not perceive a direct cost for the bonds but do with a sales tax.

Anonymous said:

I thought Amos's mothers comment was spot on. Even she can see that her son makes no sense.

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